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Surge Has Subsided But Missionary Work Continues Apace


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Posted

Just so I may have a better understanding of math, the article states just over 100 missions with an average of 250 per.   That's 25000 missionaries.  Where are the other 50K+ serving.  Are they not under a mission president?

Posted (edited)

There are 415 missions total. They want missions to have no more than 200 as it gets too bulky and not enough attention given, thus there are over 100 of the 415 whose numbers they are hoping to adjust in the future.

Edited by calmoriah
Posted

No. I'm just pointing out a pattern that I sometimes see from apologists.

The pattern I observe is something like the following:

Critic makes simplistic accusation or finding of fault.

Defender identifies nuances or considerations that may not be readily apparent or understood at first glance.

Defender is then accused of clouding the issue with unmeasurables.

Posted (edited)

Having not read every comment I don't know if anyone has addressed this but I venture to say that we are seeing and will see a rise in the expectation that young women will become missionaries. I asked my youth Sunday School class if that was true and the girls resoundingly felt that this was the case. That will continue to keep the numbers higher if it holds true.

 

The expectation not coming from leaders but from the young women themselves to each other.

Edited by mtomm
Posted

Having not read every comment I don't know if anyone has addressed this but I venture to say that we are seeing and will see a rise in the expectation that young women will become missionaries. I asked my youth Sunday School class if that was true and the girls resoundingly felt that this was the case. That will continue to keep the numbers higher if it holds true.

 

The expectation not coming from leaders but from the young women themselves to each other.

The notion that a young woman should remain at home and thus available for marriage is not present as it formerly was.
Posted

Because they relate to missionary work and represent up-to-the-minute pronouncements of some of our Church leaders on the same, I am giving these links to some of my coverage of this week's 2015 Seminar for New MTC Presidents and Visitors' Center Directors.

 

Here is my story about the Provo MTC devotional on Tuesday that featured Elder Russell M. Nelson, his wife, Sister Wendy Watson Nelson, and Elder David F. Evans.

 

And here is my coverage of Elder Evans's presentation to the couples about "being full-purpose missionaries."

 

There were other stories I wrote from the seminar. Check this week's LDS Church News for them. And I'll have more next week.

  • 2 months later...
Posted

I think the math in my post about the surge was off.

 

The "surge" would technically be the increase in numbers when new, younger missionaries are overlapping the numbers of regular missionaries who were already serving.  Once the overlap is gone, then all the missionaries are "new" missionaries who were called after the age change and the bump caused by this overlap would be over.

 

In other words, if there were 50,000 missionaries serving in 10/12 when the change was announced, and only one person chose to leave early in that month (10/12) and the rest of the missionaries (men and women) decided to serve their missions at 19 and 21 as usual, then that would be a surge of "1".  But by 10/14, every missionary serving in 10/12 would be home, and that one missionary would still be serving but he would have been out there anyway by then.

 

So by 10/14, the increase from "overlap" would be over, but you would see an increase in real numbers from more elders choosing to go, and way more sisters choosing to go.  Like my relative here.  I'm pretty sure it's hot chocolate...

I'd guess the overlap is still going on to some extent.  There were kids in college Oct 2012 that had planned their whole life to turn 19 their first year in college and go out after that.  I'm guessing the full effect of the overlap won't be completely washed through until this summer maybe the end of the year.  I also believe the trend for girls to go on missions will increase more and more, so even though numbers may drop a little more, they will continue to be strong and go up faster than the growth rate of active members. 

Posted

This mission had it compliment lowered from like 156 to 126 ish, so they are closing areas. One need this mission needs is for more sister missionaries. There are 46 units here and missionaries in most if not all of them but a lot of them have 6 missionaries so they are working on lowering it to a set of elders and sisters in each of the wards. They want to keep sisters out of outlining areas ( I live in Canada) They aren't baptizing as many as expected so they don't want to send more missionaries here if the results aren't super great but we need sisters like really badly!!! So, if anyone knows anyone this mission is hiring!

Posted (edited)

Inasmuch as my thread from January has been revived, I will take this opportunity to give a clock reading on Mike Reed's prediction (Cinepro insists it's not a prediction but a "suspcion," whatever that means) that the number of missionaries will drop "within the next two or three years." The amount of the drop is undetermined, as Mike would not be more precise, so I'm assuming he thinks it will fall back down to the pre-surge level, what it was in 2012.

 

So, the time remaining in the two years after his "suspicion" was expressed is 1 year, 9 months, 3 weeks, 3 days, 3 hours, 5 minutes 36 seconds and counting down.

Edited by Scott Lloyd
Posted

This mission had it compliment lowered from like 156 to 126 ish, so they are closing areas. One need this mission needs is for more sister missionaries. There are 46 units here and missionaries in most if not all of them but a lot of them have 6 missionaries so they are working on lowering it to a set of elders and sisters in each of the wards. They want to keep sisters out of outlining areas ( I live in Canada) They aren't baptizing as many as expected so they don't want to send more missionaries here if the results aren't super great but we need sisters like really badly!!! So, if anyone knows anyone this mission is hiring!

I have a prospective missionary who is submitting his papers now, but he's not a sister.

Posted

I have a prospective missionary who is submitting his papers now, but he's not a sister.

 

 

does he look good in a wig?

Posted

I have a prospective missionary who is submitting his papers now, but he's not a sister.

 

does he look good in a wig?

:D:rofl::D

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