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An analysis of the election by 538 which includes percentage of Mormon voters by state


bsjkki

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Well, I read the article, and I had a look at the Mormon population in each state (lds.org), but after referring to the Mormon population in each state the author failed to state why that was important.  I get that the author somehow thought that the Mormon population in some swing states had some effect upon the election, but I've read the article a couple of times and I don't understand how he (she?) arrived at this conclusion.  In fact, I found the article fairly obtuse. 

And the lds.org page is not "Mormon voter population by state".  It just the number of Mormons in each state.

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40 minutes ago, Stargazer said:

Well, I read the article, and I had a look at the Mormon population in each state (lds.org), but after referring to the Mormon population in each state the author failed to state why that was important.  I get that the author somehow thought that the Mormon population in some swing states had some effect upon the election, but I've read the article a couple of times and I don't understand how he (she?) arrived at this conclusion.  In fact, I found the article fairly obtuse. 

And the lds.org page is not "Mormon voter population by state".  It just the number of Mormons in each state.

So it is not the percentage of Mormon voters, it's the percentage of Mormons in each state. Thanks for clarifying. I am glad I was not the only one who struggled to figure out why the Mormon statistics were so important. I surmised that somehow as Mormons we messed up his numbers so we had to be included as a variable. I found his article poorly explained. I basically concluded that it wasn't other campaign issues for Clinton but demographic changes with non college educated white people that shifted the results of the election. 

I would love to see the actual percentage of Mormon voters by state. 

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I got the impression they included the Mormon stats n their analysis in order to remove the influence of that variable on Utah and other high LDS density states.  I may be wrong as I didn't examine the stats themselves and skimmed the main article, but it referred to the problem of Utah and Idaho? as being outliers (due to being heavily invested in Romney as a candidate and possibly against Trump).

Edited by Calm
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Footnote #5

Quote

Mormon voters really did not like Trump after having a Mormon candidate in Romney on the ballot in 2012. Thus, Utah (68 percent Mormon) shifted more toward Democrats than any other state. Meanwhile, Clinton matched Obama’s performance in Idaho, which has a lot of white voters without college degrees but also a lot of Mormons.

As much as I like the sentiment above, citing/linking buzzfeed as a source isn't confidence building. Ah well.

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